Centerton, Arkansas 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

000
FXUS64 KTSA 031731
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1131 AM CST Tue Dec 3 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(The rest of today )
Issued at 1055 AM CST Tue Dec 3 2024

Partly cloudy skies will continue through the remainder of the day
with somewhat breezy southeasterly winds. High temperatures will
be in the mid to upper 40s north of I-40, and the lower 50s south
of there. No rain will occur today.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tonight through Monday)
Issued at 340 AM CST Tue Dec 3 2024

The warming trend will continue in most places Wednesday just
ahead of the next cold front that will move across the area
Wednesday evening and overnight. The exception will be across
parts of southeast Oklahoma, especially close to the Red River,
where considerable cloudiness will hold temperatures down
Wednesday. Some light rain will also be possible in this area,
and a rumble of thunder cannot totally be ruled out. Farther to
the north, abundant sunshine will allow temperatures to soar well
above the seasonal averages. It would be no surprise if some
readings soar several degrees above the current forecast, but will
stay somewhat conservative for now due to uncertainties on how far
north any cloudiness will spread Wednesday.

Much colder temperatures will occur Thursday in the wake of the
aforementioned cold front, before a robust warming trend begins
Friday and peaks over the weekend. Will keep low pops Friday night
in far southeast Oklahoma for now, but trends in the latest data
suggest precipitation is rather unlikely during this time period.
The warmup over the weekend again may be even more stout than
currently forecast, but uncertainties on cloudiness, especially by
Sunday, preclude a warmer forecast at this time. Rain chances will
return to some places by Sunday and Sunday night as the next storm
system approaches. A cold frontal passage will then occur early
next week, with high temperatures Monday highly uncertain
depending on frontal timing.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1128 AM CST Tue Dec 3 2024

A pocket of 4-6 kft ceilings has developed in northeast OK, these
clouds will shift east and diminish into the afternoon. For the
rest of today a mixture of mid and high clouds can be anticipated
with southeast winds of 5-15 kts for most terminals.

Overnight, areas of wind shear will develop, focused across
northeast OK and northwest AR, with shear of up to 45 kts in the
lowest 2000 feet. Wind shear will then diminish into Wednesday
with winds shifting to the southwest. A few light showers may
occur near or south of a line from KMLC to KFSM. A very isolated
thunderstorm may also occur south of this line.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   48  40  62  29 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   49  33  61  35 /   0   0  10   0
MLC   53  39  62  34 /   0   0  10   0
BVO   47  35  61  24 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   46  33  60  25 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   47  35  59  26 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   49  37  63  32 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   45  36  59  25 /   0   0   0   0
F10   51  39  64  32 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   52  36  54  38 /   0   0  50   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...06
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...06